Services / Superforecasting

See around corners.

AI-powered strategic foresight for organizations that need to navigate the convergence. Scenario analysis, threat assessment, and technology tracking — built on 52 validated predictions and a proven track record of being weeks or months ahead of the consensus.

What we track.

Technology Convergence Tracking

Monitoring the intersection of AI, economics, ecology, and governance. When multiple exponential curves converge, the nonlinear effects are what matter. We track the convergence points.

Threat & Risk Assessment

From AI containment failures to surveillance state pre-positioning to bubble pop scenarios. We map the threat landscape with verifiable sources and timestamped claims.

Economic Foresight

Post-labor economics, the Labor Cliff, catabolic capitalism, the AI bubble thesis. We analyze the economic trajectory and what it means for your organization.

Geopolitical Analysis

Sovereign AI, compute as strategic resource, the US-China AI race, middle-power positioning. The geopolitical landscape is being rewritten by AI capability.

Proven prescience.

52 validated predictions. 1,468 prescience points. Every claim has a verifiable source timestamp and an independent validation event. This isn't armchair analysis — it's a track record.

ClaimLead Time
AI SBOM / Transparency Ledger50 weeks ahead
Karma Ledger (append-only audit trail)48 weeks ahead
Global Workspace Theory in AI agents32 weeks ahead
28-Gana/PRAT taxonomy24 weeks ahead
Bicameral reasoning architecture16 weeks ahead
AI Dreaming / Memory Consolidation12 weeks ahead
AI Bubble Pop thesisValidated Jul 2026
AI containment failureValidated Jul 2026

Full convergence audit with 52 validated claims →

Engagement options.

One-Page Brief

$500

A single-page strategic assessment of a specific question. Delivered in 48 hours.

  • One specific question, answered with evidence
  • Verifiable sources and timestamped claims
  • 48-hour turnaround
  • One follow-up email exchange
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Scenario Analysis

$2,500

Multi-scenario analysis of a strategic decision or emerging threat. 10-20 pages.

  • 3-5 scenario paths with probability estimates
  • Evidence matrix with source verification
  • Recommended actions per scenario
  • 60-minute walkthrough call
  • Revision pass within 2 weeks
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Ongoing Intelligence

From $10,000/month

Continuous intelligence feed: weekly briefings, ad-hoc analysis, convergence tracking.

  • Weekly intelligence briefing
  • Ad-hoc analysis requests (48hr SLA)
  • Convergence tracking dashboard access
  • Quarterly strategic review
  • Direct line for urgent questions
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Why not hire Palantir?

Palantir charges $10B to the Army for ontology mapping and pattern detection. Their own executives describe the work as "untangling garden hoses." France and Germany are both building alternatives specifically to reduce their dependence on them.

The market gap between "hire Palantir for $10B" and "hire a consulting firm for $500K that gives you a PowerPoint" is real. We sit in that gap — real cognitive infrastructure, actual reasoning capability, at a fraction of the cost.

We can run circles around the big players with basic reasoning and a proven track record. The prescience data is the proof.